Shares of Apple (AAPL) are up $5.89, or 1.7%, this morning at $358.01, retaining the glow of yesterday’s iPad 2 announcement that seems to have been met largely very favorably.
It doesn’t hurt that Gartner today cut their PC forecast for this year and next, based in part on their belief that the iPad and its ilk are delaying some consumer PC purchases.
Charlie Wolf, Needham & Co.: Reiterates a Buy recommendation and a $450 price target. Apple showed once again, he thinks, that “it’s more about software than hardware,” with the unveiling of the GarageBand and iMovie apps for the device. “iPad 2 immediately obsoletes a flood of media tablets that are finally beginning to appear a year after the iPad’s introduction,” writes Wolf. “Competitive tablets can emulate the hardware features of the iPad. But none can or probably never will match its software. Nor can they match its price.” Wolf left his estimates for this year unchanged.
Our conclusion is the sky’s the limit. And on that note, it was recently reported that the FAA has approved the iPad as a substitute for the paper charts pilots have traditionally used. This report suggests that the iPad could eventually become a fixture in the cockpits of every commercial plane. At this early stage it’s virtually impossible to size the iPad and media tablet market. In a previous note ( we estimated that the addressable market for media tablets could reach 875 million units. But its ultimate size might be far larger, depending on the imagination of software developers and users in the consumer and business markets.
T. Michael Walkley, Canaccord Genuity: Reiterates a Buy rating on Apple and a $460 price target. He’s impressed with the features and pricing on iPad 2 relative to the tablets he saw at the Consumer Electronics Show in January and Mobile World Congress in February. The price alone will “pressure sales of competing offerings including the Motorola [Mobility (MMI)] Xoom ($599/$799) as we believe consumers will overwhelmingly choose iPad 2 versus other tablets at these prices.”
Keith Bachman, BMO Capital: Reiterates an Outperform rating and a $410 price target. The iPad 2 was about as expected, no surprises. It’s a better produce in terms of industrial design and software, with iOS 4.3′s enhancements, and it has “several key competitive advantages,” including an early lead, the iOS “ecosystem,” the apps selection; the distribution channel (retail and carriers), the price, and the “supply chain optimization” Apple’s got.
Robert Cihra, Caris & Co.: Reiterates a Buy rating on Apple, while raising his price target to $460 from $450. He notes the March 11th ship date is a month earlier than he’d expected for the iPad 2. Echoing observations made yesterday by Sanford Bernstein’s Toni Sacconaghi, Cihra notes that, “Apple’s more aggressive iPad cost-vs-price strategy leaves no premium umbrella for commodity vendors to undercut on a spec-for-spec basis.” Any vendor thinking they can match Apple on that basis is “kidding themselves,” he writes. Cihra raised his March quarter (fiscal Q2) revenue estimate by a half a billion dollars to $24.5 billion and hiked his EPS estimate to $5.76 in EPS, up from $5.59, to reflect a higher iPhone estimate, at 16.6 million, up from a prior 16.1 million units, and higher Mac sales, at 3.85 million units, up from 3.7 million, and a higher-than-expected gross margin of 39.7%, versus his prior 39.4% forecast.
Brian Blair, Wedge Partners: The iPad was “significantly upgraded,” in his opinion, and a “technology leapfrog over the competition.” He reiterates a forecast for 45 million iPads sold this calendar year, and a 70% market share for Apple. On the component side, he expects that Qualcomm (QCOM) is supplying the baseband for the tablet. Blair notes that as far has he can tell, the rear-mounted camera on the iPad 2 is a 1.2 megapixel device, not a 5-megapixel sensor, which he believes may be a “slight disappointment” for OmniVision Technologies (OVTI), which might have been expected to sell its higher-end camera sensors into the iPad 2.The worst news for competitors is the price: “The critical price is the entry-level model, which at $499 sets a difficult bar for competitors to meet this year.”
Tavis McCourt, Morgan Keegan: Reiterates an Outperform rating on Apple and a $441 price target. There was nothing extremely surprising, he notes, but “other vendors will have difficulty selling 10-inch tablets at similar price points and functionality as Apple.” But the tablet category as a whole is still “incrementally positive for nearly every smartphone vendor adding this form factor.”
Brian White, Ticonderoga Securities: Reiterates a Buy rating and a $550 price target. White, who on Tuesday said Apple would have to make a “compelling case” to consumers for the device, writes that “the day could not have gone better.” “We believe Apple made a compelling case for why iPad 2 has the potential to further accelerate the momentum initially provided by the iPad 1, and in the process, provided investors with greater confidence that Apple is well positioned to maintain its leadership position in the rapidly growing tablet market.” White argues the price gives consumers “bang for their buck,” and he lauds Apple’s “Smart Covers,” flaps made of leather or polyurethane, that snap on with magnets, as partly “granting our wish” for the iPad to come in colors, something he sees as a differentiator.
Richard Gardner, Citigroup: Reiterates a Buy recommendation and a $415 price target, while standing by his prior estimate for sales of 6 million iPads in the current fiscal Q2, and 27 million units this fiscal year. He sees Apple retaining 80% share of the tablet market this year. “Based on the announced tablet offerings, we believe comparable tablets will need to price meaningfully below the iPad in order to take share in this market,” writes Gardner. “We view this as highly unlikely given that competitors would essentially be breaking-even or losing money at those prices.”
Mark Moskowitz, JP Morgan: Reiterates an Overweight rating and a $450 price target. Apple raised the bar for the tablet market. “Considering the competitive launches so far, with higher price points or clumsier form factor/technical specs, our assumption of Apple’s tablet market revenue share at 68% in 2011 may be conservative, particularly after today’s iPad 2 rollout.” The improvements in the form factor are “more than good enough,” writes Gardner, and the tech improvements, such as the new A5 chip, are also more than good enough, as far as he’s concerned. GarageBand and iMovie may extend the devices appeal to the 8- to 18-year-old age category, he thinks.

Article courtesy of Tech Trader Daily